Ammonium Nitrate Market Trends, Share, Analysis by 2031

Coverage: Ammonium Nitrate Market covers analysis By Form (Dry and Liquid), Application (Fertilizer, Explosives, and Others), End Use (Agriculture, Mining, Construction, Pharmaceuticals, and Others), and Geography

  • Report Code : TIPRE00030296
  • Category : Chemicals and Materials
  • No. of Pages : 150
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Ammonium Nitrate Market Trends, Share, Analysis by 2031

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The Ammonium Nitrate Market size is projected to reach US$ 31.52 billion by 2031 from US$ 22.45 billion in 2023. The market is expected to register a CAGR of 4.3% from 2023 to 2031.

Adoption of ammonium nitrate for the production of nitrous oxide for healthcare applications, such as analgesic in surgery and dentistry, is likely to remain key ammonium nitrate market trends. 

Ammonium Nitrate Market Analysis 

Ammonium nitrate is used predominantly in the mining and agriculture sectors. Ammonium nitrate is used in the mining industry as an explosive in the form of ammonium nitrate/fuel oil (ANFO) explosives. ANFO is considered a cost-effective solution and is widely used in mining operations. Utilization of high energy explosives results in efficient fragmentation of rocks. According to the World Mining Data 2022 report, the US is among the major mining countries in the world, accounting for 12.2% global share. In 2023, the US Department of Energy announced an investment of US$ 16 million for critical mineral supply chains in the US and to reduce dependency on competitors such as China. The investment aimed to support development projects of rare earth elements and critical minerals extraction in the US. Moreover, Asia Pacific marks the presence of several mineral and metal reserves, thus indicating broad potential for mining exploration activities.  

Ammonium Nitrate Market Overview

Ammonium nitrate is produced by a chemical reaction of nitric acid and ammonia. It is available in dry and liquid form. Ammonium nitrate's ease of production and cost-effectiveness has stimulated its demand in the past few decades. Many manufacturers also offer medical-grade ammonium nitrate, a significant ingredient for gas used in surgery and dentistry. However, utilization and trade of ammonium nitrate is regulated worldwide, due to potential for misuse. Growing construction activities and high emphasis on enhancing crop yield is creating lucrative opportunities for the ammonium nitrate manufacturers.  

Strategic Insights

Ammonium Nitrate Market Drivers and Opportunities

Growing Utilization of Ammonium Nitrate in the Agriculture to Favor Market

The rising emphasis on increasing crop yield and producing high-quality crops has boosted the demand for fertilizers. Ammonium nitrate is extensively used as fertilizer due to its high nitrogen content. Further, ammonium nitrate is fast-release fertilizer, thereby offering an advantage in cases of quick fertilization. The growing utilization of ammonium nitrate for increasing the crop yield as well as for pasture and hay fertilization, are major drivers of global ammonium nitrate market share.

Growing Mining Activities in the Emerging Economies – An Opportunity in Ammonium Nitrate Market

The demand for ammonium nitrate explosives is region-specific and depends on mining operations and mineral reserves. According to the report published by the US Geological Survey in 2022, China was the largest supplier of twenty-five non-fuel mineral commodities to several other countries in 2021. Out of twenty-five listed minerals, China produced sixteen critical minerals. Moreover, China, Tajikistan, Australia, and Vietnam accounted for major antimony mine production and reserves. In addition, according to the International Trade Administration, Saudi Arabia’s untapped mineral reserves accounted for US$ 1.3 trillion in 2021. Growing mining activities in emerging economies is expected to have a positive impact on the ammonium nitrate market, as it has an opportunity with the rising metal and mineral exploration activities. 

Ammonium Nitrate Market Report Segmentation Analysis

Key segments that contributed to the derivation of the ammonium nitrate market analysis are form, application, and end use.

  • Based on form, the ammonium nitrate market is divided into dry, and liquid. Dry segment held a larger market share in 2023.
  • By application, the market is segmented into fertilizer, explosives, and others. The fertilizers segment held the largest share of the market in 2023.
  • In terms of end use, the market is categorized into agriculture, mining, construction, pharmaceuticals, and others. The agriculture segment dominated the market in 2023.

Ammonium Nitrate Market Share Analysis by Geography

The geographic scope of the ammonium nitrate market report is mainly divided into five regions: North America, Asia Pacific, Europe, Middle East & Africa, and South America/South & Central America.

Asia Pacific has dominated the ammonium nitrate market. According to the Food and Agriculture Organization of United Nations, Asia Pacific is the largest producer of agricultural commodities, wherein crop production represents 60% of total agricultural production value. Further, Asia Pacific is significant contributor to global grain production. Fertilizers is a major ingredient required for boosting crop yield, thereby aiding in meeting the rising food demand. Asia Pacific marks the presence of ten major surface mining projects, namely, Green Mine (China), Sangatta Mine (Indonesia), Heidaigou Mine (China), Oyu Tolgoi Copper-Gold Mine (Mongolia), Gevra OC Mine (India), Letpadaung Copper Mine (Myanmar), Li Mine (Thailand), FTB Project (Thailand), and Pasir Mine (Indonesia). The growing mining activities, prevalent construction industry and rising emphasis on crop yield in the region, are factors contributing to the dominance of the Asia Pacific ammonium nitrate market. Asia Pacific is anticipated to grow with the highest CAGR in the coming years.

Ammonium Nitrate Market News and Recent Developments

The ammonium nitrate market is evaluated by gathering qualitative and quantitative data post primary and secondary research, which includes important corporate publications, association data, and databases. The following is a list of developments in the market for innovations, business expansion and strategies:

  • In August 2023, Azoty Group signed an agreement with thyssenkrupp Uhde, for supply of process equipment required for the production of concentrated ammonium nitrate. The construction of concentrated ammonium nitrate in Tarnów, Poland, is expected to be completed by 2025. (Source: Grupa Azoty, Press Release)
  • In September 2023, Orica Limited announced the collaboration with Fertiberia, to launch low-carbon Technical Ammonium Nitrate (TAN) to the mining and civil infrastructure industry across Europe, and Middle East and Africa. (Source: Orica Limited, Newsletter)

Ammonium Nitrate Market Report Scope

Ammonium Nitrate Market Report Coverage and Deliverables

The “Ammonium Nitrate Market Size and Forecast (2023–2031)” report provides a detailed analysis of the market covering below areas:

  • Market size and forecast at global, regional, and country levels for all the key market segments covered under the scope
  • Market dynamics such as drivers, restraints, and key opportunities
  • Key future trends
  • Detailed PEST/Porter’s Five Forces and SWOT analysis
  • Global and regional market analysis covering key market trends, major players, regulations, and recent market developments
  • Industry landscape and competition analysis covering market concentration, heat map analysis, prominent players, and recent developments
  • Detailed company profiles
REGIONAL FRAMEWORK
World Geography

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Report Coverage
Report Coverage

Revenue forecast, Company Analysis, Industry landscape, Growth factors, and Trends

Segment Covered
Segment Covered

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to segments covered.

Regional Scope
Regional Scope

North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Middle East & Africa, South & Central America

Country Scope
Country Scope

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to country scope.

  • CSBP Limited
  • TradeMark Nitrogen
  • CF Industries Holdings Inc
  • Orica Limited
  • Yara International ASA
  • Uralchem
  • Acron Group
  • Enaex SA
  • Maxam Corp Holding SL
  • Sasol Limited

The Insight Partners performs research in 4 major stages: Data Collection & Secondary Research, Primary Research, Data Analysis and Data Triangulation & Final Review.

  1. Data Collection and Secondary Research:

As a market research and consulting firm operating from a decade, we have published many reports and advised several clients across the globe. First step for any study will start with an assessment of currently available data and insights from existing reports. Further, historical and current market information is collected from Investor Presentations, Annual Reports, SEC Filings, etc., and other information related to company’s performance and market positioning are gathered from Paid Databases (Factiva, Hoovers, and Reuters) and various other publications available in public domain.

Several associations trade associates, technical forums, institutes, societies and organizations are accessed to gain technical as well as market related insights through their publications such as research papers, blogs and press releases related to the studies are referred to get cues about the market. Further, white papers, journals, magazines, and other news articles published in the last 3 years are scrutinized and analyzed to understand the current market trends.

  1. Primary Research:

The primarily interview analysis comprise of data obtained from industry participants interview and answers to survey questions gathered by in-house primary team.

For primary research, interviews are conducted with industry experts/CEOs/Marketing Managers/Sales Managers/VPs/Subject Matter Experts from both demand and supply side to get a 360-degree view of the market. The primary team conducts several interviews based on the complexity of the markets to understand the various market trends and dynamics which makes research more credible and precise.

A typical research interview fulfils the following functions:

  • Provides first-hand information on the market size, market trends, growth trends, competitive landscape, and outlook
  • Validates and strengthens in-house secondary research findings
  • Develops the analysis team’s expertise and market understanding

Primary research involves email interactions and telephone interviews for each market, category, segment, and sub-segment across geographies. The participants who typically take part in such a process include, but are not limited to:

  • Industry participants: VPs, business development managers, market intelligence managers and national sales managers
  • Outside experts: Valuation experts, research analysts and key opinion leaders specializing in the electronics and semiconductor industry.

Below is the breakup of our primary respondents by company, designation, and region:

Research Methodology

Once we receive the confirmation from primary research sources or primary respondents, we finalize the base year market estimation and forecast the data as per the macroeconomic and microeconomic factors assessed during data collection.

  1. Data Analysis:

Once data is validated through both secondary as well as primary respondents, we finalize the market estimations by hypothesis formulation and factor analysis at regional and country level.

  • 3.1 Macro-Economic Factor Analysis:

We analyse macroeconomic indicators such the gross domestic product (GDP), increase in the demand for goods and services across industries, technological advancement, regional economic growth, governmental policies, the influence of COVID-19, PEST analysis, and other aspects. This analysis aids in setting benchmarks for various nations/regions and approximating market splits. Additionally, the general trend of the aforementioned components aid in determining the market's development possibilities.

  • 3.2 Country Level Data:

Various factors that are especially aligned to the country are taken into account to determine the market size for a certain area and country, including the presence of vendors, such as headquarters and offices, the country's GDP, demand patterns, and industry growth. To comprehend the market dynamics for the nation, a number of growth variables, inhibitors, application areas, and current market trends are researched. The aforementioned elements aid in determining the country's overall market's growth potential.

  • 3.3 Company Profile:

The “Table of Contents” is formulated by listing and analyzing more than 25 - 30 companies operating in the market ecosystem across geographies. However, we profile only 10 companies as a standard practice in our syndicate reports. These 10 companies comprise leading, emerging, and regional players. Nonetheless, our analysis is not restricted to the 10 listed companies, we also analyze other companies present in the market to develop a holistic view and understand the prevailing trends. The “Company Profiles” section in the report covers key facts, business description, products & services, financial information, SWOT analysis, and key developments. The financial information presented is extracted from the annual reports and official documents of the publicly listed companies. Upon collecting the information for the sections of respective companies, we verify them via various primary sources and then compile the data in respective company profiles. The company level information helps us in deriving the base number as well as in forecasting the market size.

  • 3.4 Developing Base Number:

Aggregation of sales statistics (2020-2022) and macro-economic factor, and other secondary and primary research insights are utilized to arrive at base number and related market shares for 2022. The data gaps are identified in this step and relevant market data is analyzed, collected from paid primary interviews or databases. On finalizing the base year market size, forecasts are developed on the basis of macro-economic, industry and market growth factors and company level analysis.

  1. Data Triangulation and Final Review:

The market findings and base year market size calculations are validated from supply as well as demand side. Demand side validations are based on macro-economic factor analysis and benchmarks for respective regions and countries. In case of supply side validations, revenues of major companies are estimated (in case not available) based on industry benchmark, approximate number of employees, product portfolio, and primary interviews revenues are gathered. Further revenue from target product/service segment is assessed to avoid overshooting of market statistics. In case of heavy deviations between supply and demand side values, all thes steps are repeated to achieve synchronization.

We follow an iterative model, wherein we share our research findings with Subject Matter Experts (SME’s) and Key Opinion Leaders (KOLs) until consensus view of the market is not formulated – this model negates any drastic deviation in the opinions of experts. Only validated and universally acceptable research findings are quoted in our reports.

We have important check points that we use to validate our research findings – which we call – data triangulation, where we validate the information, we generate from secondary sources with primary interviews and then we re-validate with our internal data bases and Subject matter experts. This comprehensive model enables us to deliver high quality, reliable data in shortest possible time.

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