Spent Nuclear fuel disposal & Reprocessing Market Size Report - Growth & Forecast 2030
分析师观点:
全球乏核燃料处置和后处理市场已分为五个主要区域:北美、欧洲、亚太地区(亚太地区 (APAC)、中东和非洲 (MEA) 以及南美洲 (SAM)。在全球范围内,乏核燃料的处置和再处理对于使用核技术的国家来说是一个关键问题。据世界核协会统计,截至2016年,已产生39万吨乏核燃料废料。乏核燃料借助处置和后处理技术进行管理。世界各地正在开发深层地质处置库(DGR),以在乏核燃料发生放射性衰变时对其进行处理,以便能够妥善储存和保护数千年。在 DGR 规划方面最先进的五个国家(芬兰、瑞典、加拿大、瑞士和法国)的经验表明,技术和运营能力的证据以及公众接受度对于在制定 DGR 方面取得进展是必要的。
此外,亚太地区还有超过145个正在运行的核电反应堆以及大约30-35个在建核电反应堆。此外,该地区各国政府还制定了在该地区额外开发 50 至 60 座核反应堆的坚定计划。亚太地区工业化和城市化速度的加快是预计将产生巨大能源需求的主要因素之一。因此,核电站的建设不断增加,从而产生了该地区乏核燃料管理的需求。预计这将在预测期内推动该地区对处置和后处理设施的需求。
市场概述:
乏核燃料(SNF)管理是核能行业的重要组成部分,涉及安全和负责任地处理核能发电过程中产生的放射性物质。乏核燃料(SNF)管理涵盖一系列活动,包括核反应堆中产生的放射性废料的收集、运输、储存、后处理和处置。主要目标是安全储存并最终处置这些废物,最大限度地减少环境污染和辐射暴露的风险。
乏核燃料处置和后处理市场分析包括处理和处置由核燃料产生的高放射性废料。不同的反应堆技术被称为乏核燃料。这种乏核燃料需要独特的处理、后处理和储存解决方案。由于运行中的反应堆种类繁多,乏核燃料处置和后处理市场分为压水堆(PWR)、沸水堆(BWR)和气冷堆。
处置阶段通过考虑不同的安全和环境因素,将乏燃料核燃料处置和后处理市场进一步区分为近地表处置和深地表处置。该市场的未来增长与高效乏燃料管理、严格的监管合规以及安全、长期后处理和处置解决方案的开发等方面的技术进步密切相关。随着核电继续在全球能源战略中发挥作用,乏燃料核燃料处置和后处理市场即将扩大,满足废物类型、反应堆类型和处置策略的具体需求,以确保可持续和安全的核能未来.
市场驱动力:
核电厂的不断建立
人口增长和工业化推动的全球能源需求增长,需要扩大能源生产。核电可以提供满足这一需求所需的大部分电力,从而有助于可靠的能源供应。此外,能源安全是推动核电全球扩张的根本因素。各国寻求多样化、可靠的能源,以减少对化石燃料的依赖,确保经济增长和国家安全的稳定能源供应。与化石燃料相比,核电提供了稳定、持续的能源,不易受到价格波动和供应中断的影响。
与北美和欧洲国家不同,这些国家发电能力特别是核能的增长在过去几年一直受到限制。多年来,一些亚洲国家正在规划和建设新的核电站,以满足日益增长的清洁电力需求。据世界核协会统计,亚太地区有148座核反应堆在运行,39座在建,这表明未来十年核电发电量将显着增长,从而带动乏核燃料处置量的增长和未来几年的后处理市场。由于这些优势,世界各国政府都在投资建设核电站,以在不排放碳的情况下产生能源。例如,加拿大安大略省政府在 2020 年至 2033 年期间投资超过 250 亿美元,用于翻新达灵顿核电站和布鲁斯核电站的核反应堆。预计此类举措将推动预测期内乏核燃料处置和后处理的增长。
细分分析:
根据反应堆类型,乏核燃料处置和后处理市场分为压水堆、沸水堆反应堆、气冷反应堆等。 2022年,压水堆占乏核燃料处置和后处理市场收入的80.0%以上,预计将成为预测期内的关键领域。目前,世界上有359座可运行的压水核反应堆,与其他核反应堆相比,这些核反应堆预计将产生更多的电力,而这反过来又预计将产生核反应堆类型中大部分乏核燃料。简单的设计和低复杂性是推动压水堆采用的主要特征。此外,它们被认为是最安全、最可控的系统。同时,由于一回路和二回路分开,压水堆受污染的可能性很低,因此废物产生量很小。
区域分析:
根据The Insight Partners分析,2022年欧洲的乏核燃料处置和后处理市场份额最高,为 37.1%,由于未来几年计划关闭和核反应堆产能增加缓慢,预计在分析时间范围内复合年增长率将下降 3.4%。
欧洲国家正在采取关键战略,以实现碳减排目标以及乏核燃料废物产生的人民安全。为了实现欧盟雄心勃勃的 2050 年气候中和目标,该地区许多国家正在转向无碳能源的生产和利用。
目前,核电满足了该地区约 25% 的能源需求,占该地区能源需求的 25%。该地区约 50% 的低碳电力发电。 2006年至2022年,罗马尼亚、匈牙利、捷克、荷兰、斯洛文尼亚、芬兰等国提高核能发电能力;但相反,德国、斯洛伐克、保加利亚、法国、西班牙和瑞典等国家从核电站采购的能源却有所减少,因为这些国家未来更倾向于核退役。此外,预计该地区核电站的老化也将导致 2022 年至 2030 年乏核燃料处置和后处理市场放缓。
主要参与者分析:
Augean Plc、Perma-Fix Environmental Services, Inc <近期动态:
全球乏核燃料处置和后处理市场的公司高度采用并购等无机和有机战略。下面列出了乏核燃料处置和后处理市场主要参与者的一些最新动态:
年份
新闻
国家
2022
EnergySolutions LLC 获得核管理委员会的收购批准Dominion Energy Kewaunee, Inc. 的子公司以及 Kewaunee 发电厂运营许可证的转让。
北美
2020
威立雅集团子公司威立雅北美公司签署协议,扩大其危险废物处理和通过购买美铝美国公司位于美国古姆斯普林斯的危险废物处理场开展回收活动业务
欧洲
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Revenue forecast, Company Analysis, Industry landscape, Growth factors, and Trends
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North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Middle East & Africa, South & Central America
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Frequently Asked Questions
Augean Plc, Perma-Fix Environmental Services, Inc., SKB, US Ecology, Inc., and Veolia Group are the key market players operating in the global spent nuclear fuel disposal & reprocessing market.
Key role of nuclear power in future energy transition is anticipated to stimulate the spent nuclear fuel disposal & reprocessing market growth in the coming years.
Regions such as Europe, North America and Asia-Pacific will boost the growth of the spent nuclear fuel disposal & reprocessing market during the forecast period. This growth is owing to the rise in investment on construction of nuclear power plant and reprocessing facilities projects in the regions.
Ongoing research and innovation on advanced spent nuclear fuel reprocessing technologies in potential countries such as France, Russia, India, Japan, and China where the adoption of the above-mentioned technology is maturing at a significant rate is expected to be the key opportunity in the market.
Rise in demand for power generation from less carbon emitting sources, rise in establishment of nuclear power plants, rise in awareness towards reprocessing of spent nuclear fuel, regulations towards safe and secure disposal of spent nuclear fuel, contributing to the growth of the spent nuclear fuel disposal & reprocessing market.
The List of Companies -Spent Nuclear Fuel Disposal & Reprocessing Market
- Augean Plc
- PERMA-FIX
- SVENSK KäRNBRäNSLEHANTERING AB
- Ansaldo Energia SPA
- Orano Group
- Veolia Environment SA
- EnergySolutions
- BHI Energy
- Waste Control Specialists LLC
- Bechtel Corp.
The Insight Partners performs research in 4 major stages: Data Collection & Secondary Research, Primary Research, Data Analysis and Data Triangulation & Final Review.
- Data Collection and Secondary Research:
As a market research and consulting firm operating from a decade, we have published and advised several client across the globe. First step for any study will start with an assessment of currently available data and insights from existing reports. Further, historical and current market information is collected from Investor Presentations, Annual Reports, SEC Filings, etc., and other information related to company’s performance and market positioning are gathered from Paid Databases (Factiva, Hoovers, and Reuters) and various other publications available in public domain.
Several associations trade associates, technical forums, institutes, societies and organization are accessed to gain technical as well as market related insights through their publications such as research papers, blogs and press releases related to the studies are referred to get cues about the market. Further, white papers, journals, magazines, and other news articles published in last 3 years are scrutinized and analyzed to understand the current market trends.
- Primary Research:
The primarily interview analysis comprise of data obtained from industry participants interview and answers to survey questions gathered by in-house primary team.
For primary research, interviews are conducted with industry experts/CEOs/Marketing Managers/VPs/Subject Matter Experts from both demand and supply side to get a 360-degree view of the market. The primary team conducts several interviews based on the complexity of the markets to understand the various market trends and dynamics which makes research more credible and precise.
A typical research interview fulfils the following functions:
- Provides first-hand information on the market size, market trends, growth trends, competitive landscape, and outlook
- Validates and strengthens in-house secondary research findings
- Develops the analysis team’s expertise and market understanding
Primary research involves email interactions and telephone interviews for each market, category, segment, and sub-segment across geographies. The participants who typically take part in such a process include, but are not limited to:
- Industry participants: VPs, business development managers, market intelligence managers and national sales managers
- Outside experts: Valuation experts, research analysts and key opinion leaders specializing in the electronics and semiconductor industry.
Below is the breakup of our primary respondents by company, designation, and region:
Once we receive the confirmation from primary research sources or primary respondents, we finalize the base year market estimation and forecast the data as per the macroeconomic and microeconomic factors assessed during data collection.
- Data Analysis:
Once data is validated through both secondary as well as primary respondents, we finalize the market estimations by hypothesis formulation and factor analysis at regional and country level.
- Macro-Economic Factor Analysis:
We analyse macroeconomic indicators such the gross domestic product (GDP), increase in the demand for goods and services across industries, technological advancement, regional economic growth, governmental policies, the influence of COVID-19, PEST analysis, and other aspects. This analysis aids in setting benchmarks for various nations/regions and approximating market splits. Additionally, the general trend of the aforementioned components aid in determining the market's development possibilities.
- Country Level Data:
Various factors that are especially aligned to the country are taken into account to determine the market size for a certain area and country, including the presence of vendors, such as headquarters and offices, the country's GDP, demand patterns, and industry growth. To comprehend the market dynamics for the nation, a number of growth variables, inhibitors, application areas, and current market trends are researched. The aforementioned elements aid in determining the country's overall market's growth potential.
- Company Profile:
The “Table of Contents” is formulated by listing and analyzing more than 25 - 30 companies operating in the market ecosystem across geographies. However, we profile only 10 companies as a standard practice in our syndicate reports. These 10 companies comprise leading, emerging, and regional players. Nonetheless, our analysis is not restricted to the 10 listed companies, we also analyze other companies present in the market to develop a holistic view and understand the prevailing trends. The “Company Profiles” section in the report covers key facts, business description, products & services, financial information, SWOT analysis, and key developments. The financial information presented is extracted from the annual reports and official documents of the publicly listed companies. Upon collecting the information for the sections of respective companies, we verify them via various primary sources and then compile the data in respective company profiles. The company level information helps us in deriving the base number as well as in forecasting the market size.
- Developing Base Number:
Aggregation of sales statistics (2020-2022) and macro-economic factor, and other secondary and primary research insights are utilized to arrive at base number and related market shares for 2022. The data gaps are identified in this step and relevant market data is analyzed, collected from paid primary interviews or databases. On finalizing the base year market size, forecasts are developed on the basis of macro-economic, industry and market growth factors and company level analysis.
- Data Triangulation and Final Review:
The market findings and base year market size calculations are validated from supply as well as demand side. Demand side validations are based on macro-economic factor analysis and benchmarks for respective regions and countries. In case of supply side validations, revenues of major companies are estimated (in case not available) based on industry benchmark, approximate number of employees, product portfolio, and primary interviews revenues are gathered. Further revenue from target product/service segment is assessed to avoid overshooting of market statistics. In case of heavy deviations between supply and demand side values, all thes steps are repeated to achieve synchronization.
We follow an iterative model, wherein we share our research findings with Subject Matter Experts (SME’s) and Key Opinion Leaders (KOLs) until consensus view of the market is not formulated – this model negates any drastic deviation in the opinions of experts. Only validated and universally acceptable research findings are quoted in our reports.
We have important check points that we use to validate our research findings – which we call – data triangulation, where we validate the information, we generate from secondary sources with primary interviews and then we re-validate with our internal data bases and Subject matter experts. This comprehensive model enables us to deliver high quality, reliable data in shortest possible time.